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Iran: A War Is Coming


Crozza

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Rock and a hard place.

They can protect our shipping by not only patrolling the straits but put armed contingents on the ships.

They do that and the Pasdaran will deliberately try and board to turn it into a shooting war.

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So, the ship that was seized off of Gibraltar (Grace 1), the incident that started this whole shit show...

You know, the one we took illegally under some bullshit about Syrian embargos, but was in actual fact on the request of the Americans...

I know the Iranians are being tit-for-tat, but "we" started it.

When will the UK learn not to do stupid shit in the Middle East as a proxy for the Americans.

 

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1 minute ago, manxman1980 said:

I don't know the legality of seizing the Grace 1, however, I do agree that the UK and the USA need to learn not to do stupid shit in the Middle East.  The whole fucking area is a mess after years of western interference and intervention.  

As far as I can tell, the Grace 1 was seized under EU embargo rules, however, neither Iran or Syria are members of the EU, so not quite sure where the EU rules apply or why the Royal Navy got involved.

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32 minutes ago, RIchard Britten said:

As far as I can tell, the Grace 1 was seized under EU embargo rules, however, neither Iran or Syria are members of the EU, so not quite sure where the EU rules apply or why the Royal Navy got involved.

Why do you think Iran or Syria would have to be in the EU for the EU to have sanctions against them? It’d be bizarre.

The EU has a common ( United ) foreign policy and sanctions regime about Syria, which specifically includes oil.

Prior to the agreement about nuclear matters with Iran there were also sanctions against Iranian oil exports. 

The US has unilaterally reneged on that agreement, but the EU has not.

So, under EU law the Grace was seized as the cargo was oil, no matter where from, going to Syria in breach of sanctions.

Indeed, U.K. and Gibraltar authorities have repeatedly made it clear that the ship and cargo can be released as soon as Iran confirms the oil won’t go to Syria.

Sanctions were renewed as recently as 17 May.

The boat was in Gibraltar, and thus EU, waters. Yes the straits have to provide free international passage, just like Hormuz, but not if they are in breach of sanctions.

 

 

BF8D32BF-C1ED-4AF1-956F-42E6D3F7D89A.png

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32 minutes ago, RIchard Britten said:

As far as I can tell, the Grace 1 was seized under EU embargo rules, however, neither Iran or Syria are members of the EU, so not quite sure where the EU rules apply or why the Royal Navy got involved.

A bit lacking in knowledge of how an international embargo works. 

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47 minutes ago, John Wright said:

Why do you think Iran or Syria would have to be in the EU for the EU to have sanctions against them? It’d be bizarre.

The EU has a common ( United ) foreign policy and sanctions regime about Syria, which specifically includes oil.

Prior to the agreement about nuclear matters with Iran there were also sanctions against Iranian oil exports. 

The US has unilaterally reneged on that agreement, but the EU has not.

So, under EU law the Grace was seized as the cargo was oil, no matter where from, going to Syria in breach of sanctions.

Indeed, U.K. and Gibraltar authorities have repeatedly made it clear that the ship and cargo can be released as soon as Iran confirms the oil won’t go to Syria.

Sanctions were renewed as recently as 17 May.

The boat was in Gibraltar, and thus EU, waters. Yes the straits have to provide free international passage, just like Hormuz, but not if they are in breach of sanctions.

 

 

BF8D32BF-C1ED-4AF1-956F-42E6D3F7D89A.png

Except it wasn't going to Syria...

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Apparently not as clean cut as we led to believe:

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/gibraltar-changed-its-sanctions-laws-to-impound-iranian-ship-lc5vm59bh

"Gibraltar updated its sanctions enforcement regulations 36 hours before Royal Marines impounded an Iranian tanker when it stopped for supplies in the territory, lawyers have said.

The seizure of the Grace 1 earlier this month, which prompted Iran to threaten reciprocal actions, is at the heart of the crisis unfolding the Gulf.

The legal changes, reported by the blog EU Sanctions, suggest both that the operation was meticulously planned and that the authorities feared it would need a clearer legal basis."

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9 minutes ago, RIchard Britten said:

Apparently not as clean cut as we led to believe:

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/gibraltar-changed-its-sanctions-laws-to-impound-iranian-ship-lc5vm59bh

"Gibraltar updated its sanctions enforcement regulations 36 hours before Royal Marines impounded an Iranian tanker when it stopped for supplies in the territory, lawyers have said.

The seizure of the Grace 1 earlier this month, which prompted Iran to threaten reciprocal actions, is at the heart of the crisis unfolding the Gulf.

The legal changes, reported by the blog EU Sanctions, suggest both that the operation was meticulously planned and that the authorities feared it would need a clearer legal basis."

Somewhere between 17 May and 20 July they had to update, as the old ones were due to expire.

IoM ones also got updated.

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