La_Dolce_Vita Posted April 30, 2009 Share Posted April 30, 2009 Very drastic measures from a country with apparently only 7 deaths don't you think? Yeah I think so too. Maybe it is related to nature of this disease, i.e. how infectious it is, how it is spread, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cambon Posted April 30, 2009 Share Posted April 30, 2009 I hope it will fizzle out, I hope it will be mild - but the evidence is far to early to tell Jim! Mexico basically shutting down: http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/worl...icle6196625.ece Very drastic measures from a country with apparently only 7 deaths don't you think? I don't know. 7? 150? Someone is telling porkies! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jimcalagon Posted April 30, 2009 Share Posted April 30, 2009 New Scientist - Expert Analysis So far there seem to have been around 159 fatalities among perhaps 2000 cases in Mexico, although only a small number of these have been confirmed in the laboratory as influenza infections. Although this suggests a scary fatality rate of around 10%, there has so far been just one death outside of Mexico – of a 23-month-old Mexican child in Texas, who had recently been in Mexico. The "case fatality" of the virus is not yet known. This is the key point that scientists are now investigating. Travellers returning to their home countries after acquiring the virus in Mexico have experienced mild influenza-like illness. What might explain this apparent discrepancy in disease outcome? One simple answer is that there have been many more mild cases in Mexico than counted so far and that the true case fatality rate is more like 1 to 2%. This would be akin to that seen during previous pandemics such as the 1957 (H2N2) Asian influenza or the 1968 (H3N2) Hong Kong flu. Even with the 1918 Spanish influenza, which killed tens of millions, the case fatality rate is estimated at between only 2.5 and 5%. In other words, as cases outside of Mexico increase, we may expect a small number of fatalities from what is otherwise a rather mild virus. Increased epidemiology – for example, monitoring the spread of the virus and the strain type in the affected areas in Mexico – will shed light on this issue. Another possibility is that the Mexican fatal cases have been due to co-infections with other pathogens that together lead to a worse outcome, or that somehow the indigenous population of Mexico is genetically predisposed to fare badly with this particular influenza strain. There is no evidence to support either of these possibilities, but then so far we have few clinical details of any of the cases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gazza Posted April 30, 2009 Share Posted April 30, 2009 I hope it will fizzle out, I hope it will be mild - but the evidence is far to early to tell Jim! Mexico basically shutting down: http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/worl...icle6196625.ece Very drastic measures from a country with apparently only 7 deaths don't you think? I don't know. 7? 150? Someone is telling porkies! Mexico: Total Confirmed Influenza A (H1N1) Case Count Reaches to 260, with 12 fatalities lreland got a first case, and thay think the new one in falkirk is first case spread from human to human Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluemonday Posted May 1, 2009 Share Posted May 1, 2009 Time to dig in on Barrule with an AK and a big box of kendal mint cake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
La_Dolce_Vita Posted May 1, 2009 Share Posted May 1, 2009 Time to dig in on Barrule with an AK and a big box of kendal mint cake. Is that essential survival food? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DRIVER Posted May 1, 2009 Share Posted May 1, 2009 Time to dig in on Barrule with an AK and a big box of kendal mint cake. Is that essential survival food? Don't think its esential food ,but your fresh breath will keep the sheep happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Posted May 1, 2009 Share Posted May 1, 2009 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Posted May 1, 2009 Share Posted May 1, 2009 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
monasqueen Posted May 1, 2009 Share Posted May 1, 2009 Why is this called swine flu, not Mexican flu? Others were named after their country of origin. Perhaps it is now fashionable to blame animals - bird flu, etc.... Where is Doctor WHO? WHO cares? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slim Posted May 1, 2009 Share Posted May 1, 2009 Why is this called swine flu, not Mexican flu? Others were named after their country of origin. Perhaps it is now fashionable to blame animals - bird flu, etc.... The press, the WHO are calling it Mexican Flu or 2009 h1n1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slim Posted May 1, 2009 Share Posted May 1, 2009 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Posted May 1, 2009 Share Posted May 1, 2009 Why is this called swine flu, not Mexican flu? Others were named after their country of origin. Perhaps it is now fashionable to blame animals - bird flu, etc.... Where is Doctor WHO? WHO cares? Seems WHO really do care.... Knock Knock ....... Who's there..? Doctor... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whimsy Posted May 1, 2009 Share Posted May 1, 2009 Some sort of facts: 1. Tamiflu is no use until you have the flu. It is for taking AFTER you have flu, and reduces the sypmtoms and rate of passing on infection 2. Masks are only of use AFTER you have flu. They stop you passing it on to others 3. There is no vaccine yet. It will take months, and will only be of use if the virus does not further mutate 4. SARS was short lived because it was so virulent. The higher the death rate, the quicker it dies out, because dead hosts cannot pass on a virus. 4. This flu, with a death rate of between 1% and 10% will mean that at least 90% will survive to carry on passing on the virus 5. Therefore the flu will last a long time, and come in about three waves over the next 18 months 6. If about 10% of our population get it, another 10% or so will be required to look after them. That will have a huge effect on the Island 7. If 20% or more get it, we will be in real trouble - it will be a virtual shut down. 8. If the death rate is as low as 1% that will mean 800 deaths here. 10% could mean 8000 deaths. 9. This flu will mostly affect the young and healthy. 10. In any list from 1 to 10, it will in future be compulsory to have at least two Number 4s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
La_Dolce_Vita Posted May 1, 2009 Share Posted May 1, 2009 What procedures are in place if swine flu got the isle of man and more life threatening that expected. Is is simply to dish out anti-virals, ban travel and public events? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.