La_Dolce_Vita Posted March 20, 2012 Share Posted March 20, 2012 Firstly, it is arguable whether Russia will be an emerging power. It looks to be mainly stagnant at the moment in terms of how its manages its resources. It is not in the same class India and China, or even South America in terms of development and utilisation of resources. The US isn't being backed into any corner because of Israeli demands for action and opposition to them from Russia and China. It is being pushed back though. This is an example of a limitation placed on US demands and policy, not a process of isolation that leaves the US alone. And I would argue about the idea that it has to show leadership. The US doesn't need demonstrations at the present to highlight its military might and nor does it need it to demonstrate it conviction in this instance. Nor is the US a rat. Were there to be militarily action against Iran it would have to be soon and would almost certainly have to take the form of surgical strikes against nuclear installations. And the current process is one where the US has to determine what would come happen were it to undertake such strikes and whether Iran would simply continue building more, in which case it would be futile and too risky. The US could go ahead and take unilateral action but it is being watched and its plans would be easy to recognise. But in terms of a State of Emergency, that would presume a war situation, which would not come from an attack on military installations in Iran regardless of how much China and Russia disliked it. A global war would be too destruction for them to consider. And nobody would want to go to war over Iran. It isn't in the interest of the US and China and certainly not Russia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
La_Dolce_Vita Posted March 20, 2012 Share Posted March 20, 2012 That is not to say that this legislation is very interesting and its timing must be thought about. But we have to look more carefully at the inferences and see what is going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lxxx Posted March 20, 2012 Author Share Posted March 20, 2012 Firstly, it is arguable whether Russia will be an emerging power. It looks to be mainly stagnant at the moment in terms of how its manages its resources. It is not in the same class India and China, or even South America in terms of development and utilisation of resources. The US isn't being backed into any corner because of Israeli demands for action and opposition to them from Russia and China. It is being pushed back though. This is an example of a limitation placed on US demands and policy, not a process of isolation that leaves the US alone. And I would argue about the idea that it has to show leadership. The US doesn't need demonstrations at the present to highlight its military might and nor does it need it to demonstrate it conviction in this instance. Nor is the US a rat. Were there to be militarily action against Iran it would have to be soon and would almost certainly have to take the form of surgical strikes against nuclear installations. And the current process is one where the US has to determine what would come happen were it to undertake such strikes and whether Iran would simply continue building more, in which case it would be futile and too risky. The US could go ahead and take unilateral action but it is being watched and its plans would be easy to recognise. But in terms of a State of Emergency, that would presume a war situation, which would not come from an attack on military installations in Iran regardless of how much China and Russia disliked it. A global war would be too destruction for them to consider. And nobody would want to go to war over Iran. It isn't in the interest of the US and China and certainly not Russia. It is though in the interest of Iran to respond in whatever way it sees fit, and they do have the capability to strike back in a number of ways. If they decided to take this threat to the US mainland, not militarily per sé but strategic 'strikes' against key targets, that could be seen as an act of war and would therefore fulfil the criteria to invoke the legisaltion. A scenario a number of political commentators have already outlined in the past few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
La_Dolce_Vita Posted March 20, 2012 Share Posted March 20, 2012 Well that's a possibility, if you are referring to some Iranian government encouragement of terrorism against the USA. Not sure what else you could be referring to. Militarily, Iran has little capability to strike the US at the present time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lxxx Posted March 21, 2012 Author Share Posted March 21, 2012 Of course a state of national emergency can be declared for anything they can convince the public to believe, with the help of a compliant media. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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