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Europe Changes GDP Calculation Methodology


Bobbie Bobster

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Found this blog on The Independent: How has the picture of the UK economy changed?

 

TL;DR version: Better, but still dreadful.

 

Number-crunchers have been in overdrive today because the Office for National Statistics has unveiled how a pan-European overhaul of GDP statistics has affected its estimates of the performance of the British economy in recent years.

This is a purely a measurement issue. It stems from, among other things, changes in how research expenditure by firms is recorded by statisticians and also new estimates of the size of the domestic market for illegal drugs and prostitution. The changes don’t mean we’re financially any better off than before the ONS published the new data.

Nevertheless, the revisions do shift the GDP growth picture materially.

So how has that picture changed?

Well, the ONS now thinks the great 2008-09 recession was less severe than before:

NEW-ONS1.png

Rather than falling by 7.2%, the level of real GDP sank by 6% (which is incidentally in line with the ONS’s contemporary estimates from 2008/09).

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For as long as the GDP of a country is interpreted as its economic health the true economic health will never be clear to most people.

 

Take the UK. The balance of trade is horrendous.and doubly so if the funding of private debt is factored in.

 

All the GDP shows is what it says on the tin - the Gross Domestic Product.

 

No indication if that economic activity is being supported, or in the case of the UK driven by ever increasing public and private sector money markets.

 

We are in an even worse position as AFIK thus far the fools in CoMin have not started to overtly borrow to address our shortfall between tax take and government spend, instead they are flogging off everything that's not nailed down to get hold of funds for their stupid vanity nonsense schemes.

 

A cull the Civil Service is desperately needed using the Thatcher principle of living within the means, not the wants. The size of our civil Service is a cancer that must be excised. We can not afford this parasite.

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what is the debt of the iom? around 10bn?

If public and private debt are lumped together, as they should be, I suspect that a considerably higher figure would emerge. Especially if future commitments are factored in. Expenditure that must be made in the future such as pension commitments and more besides.

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Wahey!

 

The Department of Economic Development has launched an important survey which will be used to assist in the calculation of the Isle of Man’s National Income as measured by Gross Domestic Product (“GDP”).

 

http://www.gov.im/news/2014/sep/09/meeting-international-standards-for-measuring-gross-domestic-product/

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