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IOM Covid removing restrictions


Filippo

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1 minute ago, NoTail said:

A worry about our long term plan to open the borders.  Using very rough figures assume a population of 90,000 and rought 1/3 over 60, 1/3 20-59 and 1/3 under 20.

 

If we assume  10% of over 60s refuse vaccination (nutters) and same for the middle group then at end 9f May there would be 36,000 over 50s exposed to infection in the population 3,000 over 60. There are only 20 odd beds in Nobles to cope, so we would rapidly get overwhelmed.  By end September when the whole population has been eligible for vaccination there would still be around 9,000 who refused.  

We need a good plan to beef up the hospital or we will never open the borders based on current thinking. 

Make those who choose not to vaccinate  stay under lockdown conditions. They’d soon see sense. 

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18 minutes ago, John Wright said:

Mark Windows “Windows on the World” Mr Houston seems to contribute.

The American man also interviewed in that scary video believes some extraordinary stuff. Worth watching just for how mad his Trump/QAnon perspective is.

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1 minute ago, Roxanne said:

And interestingly not a word about it on the Nation's Station this morning.

If they don’t discuss it, eventually it goes away. Like they’re doing to Dr Glover. Cowardly and lacking in taking responsibility, or being transparent with their policies/leadership.

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Just now, Roxanne said:

I watched a documentary yesterday about the radicalisation of the middle-aged and above Americans who buy into the whole QAnon, COVID-19 is a hoax, anti mask,Democratic paedophile ring, white supremacy, Trump supporter ethos. Scared the bejesus out of me. They're never going to change their minds unless they go through serious deconditioning and for that they have to want to -and they don't - they live in a complete bubble surrounded by everything and everyone who supports their view. Scary stuff.

The USA have some deep rooted problems which have festered for decades. It will take more than cutting the head off the snake to remedy them. 

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1 hour ago, John Wright said:

Ashie has been caught suggesting we may move from manufacturers recommended 21/28 day interval between Covid vaccine doses and follow the UK 12 week interval.

Today we will hit 5% population receiving first dose. UK about 8% and Israel 25%.

Israel is using the 12 week interval. But they’re finding that the effectiveness is way below the 52% pfizer figure for single dose effectiveness. And Israel has seen its highest level of new cases in the pandemic so far, 8,000 per day. Equivalent to 64,000 in UK terms. Despite whatever community immunity there is and 25% vaccination.

Probably realizing with slow roll out he won’t meet targets so needs more vaccinations done to more people, probably follow Guernsey on 6 weeks gap .

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4 minutes ago, jaymann said:

Was told this morning that Gov department planning for more free/loose movement has been pushed from 1st July target to 1st October. MGP 95% out the window.

Ashie said borders would be considered May once priority groups vaccinated but Howie said maybe sooner depending on uk infection rates which thankfully seem to starting to fall 

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1 minute ago, Banker said:

Ashie said borders would be considered May once priority groups vaccinated but Howie said maybe sooner depending on uk infection rates which thankfully seem to starting to fall 

I'm sure they did. But that's not what the planning behind the scenes is working to.

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2 minutes ago, manxst said:

And with the vaccine dates getting stretched too, I wonder what has significantly changed recently, or what news they have received?

Possible vaccine supply problems from Pfizer, news from Canada is reduced deliveries this week, none next week and less the week after, apparently they are reorganizing to make efficiencies and produce more.

If that's accurate then i assume it will have a knock on effect around the world.

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8 minutes ago, The Chief said:

Possible vaccine supply problems from Pfizer, news from Canada is reduced deliveries this week, none next week and less the week after, apparently they are reorganizing to make efficiencies and produce more.

If that's accurate then i assume it will have a knock on effect around the world.

Yes that is well documented. Expected to be a blip of 2 weeks. Let's hope those clever folks at the plant in Belgium get their process changes done quicker than expected.

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