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IOM Covid removing restrictions


Filippo

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9 minutes ago, horatiotheturd said:

Bet they would love somewhere to trail that.

IOMG. Contact them, offer to part fund it in return for a percentage of tmfuture profits.  Set up a centre at our ports and go level 3 in conjuction with the existing regime and also this test at entry.

Six weeks in if its picked up cases that the pcr test missed then we vmcan build a world beating open border policy and also sell this now proven test around the world and put the Isle of man on the map.

They would love funding and a small and controlled test base. 

Or just keep the borders closed and let all the opportunities pass us by

But would it be any better than PCR? You still need a lab.

The problem is, you can't pick something up that isn't there yet, it'd make no real difference. Just, less like your brain was poked.

We could fix that by taking China's anal swab approach.

At least lateral flow is done without a lab. That's why that is popular.

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12 minutes ago, AcousticallyChallenged said:

But would it be any better than PCR? You still need a lab.

The problem is, you can't pick something up that isn't there yet, it'd make no real difference. Just, less like your brain was poked.

We could fix that by taking China's anal swab approach.

At least lateral flow is done without a lab. That's why that is popular.

I don't see the harm in trying to push things forward.

Anyway.  Still waiting for @Albert Tatlock and his mates to apologise for the crappy lego jokes last night when I was actually right 

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31 minutes ago, horatiotheturd said:

I don't see the harm in trying to push things forward.

Anyway.  Still waiting for @Albert Tatlock and his mates to apologise for the crappy lego jokes last night when I was actually right 

I responded with my calcs...you chose to concentrate on someone else's. Don't link the two.

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19 minutes ago, AlanShimmin said:

Oh no, did someone upset @Banker

 

Better call the lego ambulance 

51oWmQw8LHL._AC_.jpg

Would gain you much more respect if instead of posting pictures of lego, you actually gave some evidence to back up whatever point you are making.

I belive it was supporting Albert's claim that the hospital would be overwhelmed if we had the same level of infection as the UK.

Looking forward to your workings out.

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19 hours ago, Albert Tatlock said:

Here is my logic:

UK 11th Nov 50,000 deaths.

IOM par equivalent: 66 deaths.

UK 26th January 100,000 deaths.

IOM par equivalent: 133 deaths

Assuming average hospitalisation prior to death is 21 days.

IOM equivalent change 11th Nov to 26th January 67 deaths (67 * 21 days = 1414 ICU days)

11th Nov to 26th January is 77 day period.

Assuming flat growth: 1414/77 means 18 in ICU any one time. But it was exponential, so number would actually build from 0 to 67 exponentially.

And above doesn't even include anyone in ICU that would have recovered.

Therefore overwhelmed, even with flat growth curve, let alone exponential growth - and not even taking into account hospitalised survivors.

@Albert Tatlockthese ones? That are clearly bollocks?

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7 minutes ago, Albert Tatlock said:

Prove it.

 

Prove they aren't 

Nobody has agreed with you.

AcousticallyChallenged tried to show I was wrong and then wrighty pointed out he was wrong and he then agreed with me.

Your figures make no sense at all.  Its a very simple sum.

If anyone wants to back albert up here chuck this post a like.

If you think he is wrong chuck it a confused face 

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30 minutes ago, horatiotheturd said:

Would gain you much more respect if instead of posting pictures of lego, you actually gave some evidence to back up whatever point you are making.

I belive it was supporting Albert's claim that the hospital would be overwhelmed if we had the same level of infection as the UK.

Looking forward to your workings out.

I am no statistician but your figures show the hospital would not be overwhelmed yes, BUT with such a small amount of ICU beds it would only take one big RTC and we are up sh1t creek. 

Is that not the problem?

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3 minutes ago, horatiotheturd said:

Your figures make no sense at all.  Its a very simple sum.

If anyone wants to back albert up here chuck this post a like.

If you think he is wrong chuck it a confused face 

It's not a very simple sum. It's certainly not a day by day UK comparison.

It's a cumulative issue (of the 21 days people are hospitalised typically before they die) for a single hospital with 67 people (the equivalent to UK deaths) arriving and dying there over a period of 77 days.

And it desn't even include any of those hospitalised and recovered.

Getting some of your barmy innumerate mates to mob a post doesn't change that.

 

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5 minutes ago, Boris Johnson said:

I am no statistician but your figures show the hospital would not be overwhelmed yes, BUT with such a small amount of ICU beds it would only take one big RTC and we are up sh1t creek. 

Is that not the problem?

No.

Firstly because we would never get to that point anyway.

Secondly because we would all be at home and limited to 40mph if we were out.

Thirdly because we can increase icu capacity like we did in the spring 

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2 minutes ago, Albert Tatlock said:
16 minutes ago, horatiotheturd said:

Your figures make no sense at all.  Its a very simple sum.

If anyone wants to back albert up here chuck this post a like.

If you think he is wrong chuck it a confused face 

It's not a very simple sum. It's certainly not a day by day UK comparison.

It's a cumulative issue (of the 21 days people are hospitalised typically before they die)

Typically before they die?

What planet are you from?

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