AcousticallyChallenged Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 57 minutes ago, horatiotheturd said: How on earth are you going to do that without testing the entire island? Sequencing (which is what I assume you are getting at) doesn't magically fill in missing links. More chance of finding that missing link by testing everyone an app pinged up for the week before the new case as a close contact than through sequencing In the case of the two cases that appeared, we'd have known by Sunday, whether it was caught from the Steam Packet cluster, and more importantly, who they caught it from in that cluster. That narrows down the search immensely, as you just have to find whether something links those two individuals. Still not necessarily an immediate thing, but you might just identify a high risk venue and get ahead of any other cases. Did I mention that it's free if IOMG want to give it a go? 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AcousticallyChallenged Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, CallMeCurious said: Agreed so why bother at all? Admit it's out of the bag and do what they need to do. Otherwise before you know it, we'll be filling Nobles. Look what happened in the UK with this new variant, just after Xmas it rocketed very fast. The 2nd wave here peaked at 53 cases 14 days after NY lockdown began. We are now at 50 cases and no lockdown. Can we equally point out, that until now, all the positives, bar one, were those that had already been identified by contact tracing for isolation? Last time, the community cases were what tipped the scales. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Banker Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 Just now, AcousticallyChallenged said: Can we equally point out, that until now, all the positives, bar one, were those that had already been identified by contact tracing for isolation? Last time, the community cases were what tipped the scales. But last time there were higher numbers of community cases from several different areas including Villa, busy pubs etc , this time there are 3 with no large scale events visited or karaoke bars!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AcousticallyChallenged Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 Just now, Banker said: But last time there were higher numbers of community cases from several different areas including Villa, busy pubs etc , this time there are 3 with no large scale events visited or karaoke bars!! It was, in their words, a 'risk of widespread community seeding' with those events. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Banker Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 (edited) 4 minutes ago, AcousticallyChallenged said: It was, in their words, a 'risk of widespread community seeding' with those events. Yes so shouldn’t be such a major risk this time looking at venues visited . If any measure required they should be for short period, no more than 7 days , this 21 days without community cases is ridiculous Edited March 1, 2021 by Banker Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Happier diner Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 31 minutes ago, doc.fixit said: Are you suggesting that all private planes and boats travel without passengers? No. I was being sarcastic. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CallMeCurious Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, AcousticallyChallenged said: It was, in their words, a 'risk of widespread community seeding' with those events. https://covid19.gov.im/outbreak-management-plan/outbreak-plan/ We've just hit 5 on the rolling 7-day figures I believe, so according to the outbreak plan we'll be on the brink of Level 2. Spread controllable by contact tracing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Happier diner Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 14 minutes ago, AcousticallyChallenged said: Did I mention that it's free if IOMG want to give it a go? Yes. often. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AcousticallyChallenged Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, CallMeCurious said: https://covid19.gov.im/outbreak-management-plan/outbreak-plan/ We've just hit 5 on the rolling 7-day figures I believe, so according to the outbreak plan we'll be on the brink of Level 2. Spread controllable by contact tracing. That's a rolling 7 day average of community cases I believe. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Banker Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, AcousticallyChallenged said: That's a rolling 7 day average of community cases I believe. And we’ve only got 3 so rolling average is what ? 1/2? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlanShimmin Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 If only there was a way there cases could be tester genetically on island they may be able to connect the dots. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AcousticallyChallenged Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 (edited) 9 minutes ago, Banker said: And we’ve only got 3 so rolling average is what ? 1/2? We've had 3 in the past 7 days, so 0.43. Edited March 1, 2021 by AcousticallyChallenged Fat fingers 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
quilp Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 52 minutes ago, CallMeCurious said: Kinda reminds you of a peat fire on moorland... just when you think it's out it pops up somewhere else... You are Dr.Henrietta Ewart and I claim my fiver. 😁 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
horatiotheturd Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 33 minutes ago, AcousticallyChallenged said: In the case of the two cases that appeared, we'd have known by Sunday, whether it was caught from the Steam Packet cluster, and more importantly, who they caught it from in that cluster. That narrows down the search immensely, as you just have to find whether something links those two individuals. Still not necessarily an immediate thing, but you might just identify a high risk venue and get ahead of any other cases. Did I mention that it's free if IOMG want to give it a go? And if it showed it wasn't from that cluster it helps with nothing, or even if it was from that cluster but not one of the other positive tests, helps with nothing as you still have a missing link. A contact tracing app might help you find that link Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Wright Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, AcousticallyChallenged said: We've had 3 in the past 7 days, so 0.43. Is it the daily average, or the 7 day average? If it’s the latter it’s 3 and another 4 days to go. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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