TheTeapot Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 25 minutes ago, Roger Mexico said: What I suspect this does show is that there actually was only one source of infection and that was in Douglas. I don't really understand why you think that based on that data, could you please explain? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gladys Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 (edited) Or Foxdale! More seriously, Douglas has the most schools and the spread can be seen in the catchment areas for those schools and that includes Central. Edited March 13, 2021 by Gladys To correct Central Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
horatiotheturd Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 4 hours ago, Roger Mexico said: I must confess I was surprised by this as I didn't think that there would be that much difference between areas, But it's very noticeable, especially if you adjust for population. Postcode areas don't quite match local authority areas, but using the Census data to give a good idea you get the following figures for the post code areas of cases (in this latest outbreak) per 10,000 population: IM1/2 (Douglas) 97 IM3 (Onchan) 122 IM4 (Central) 125 IM5 (Peel) 32 IM6 (Michael) 31 IM7 (North) 32 IM8 (Ramsey) 36 IM9 (South) 74 What I suspect this does show is that there actually was only one source of infection and that was in Douglas. How do you figure that from the data you have available? Like lots of other people I barely do anything but live in my postcode area. My shopping, my socialising, my hobbies, my entertainment all happen in Douglas. My business is conducted all over the island. If I had COVID its unlikely I would pass it on to anyone who lives in the same postcode other than my family. I would however likely pass it around the shops, pubs, restaurants, offices in Douglas. Those figures seem completely pointless to me and certainly not in anyway sufficient to form a conclusion on where an infection came from? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CowMan Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 11 minutes ago, horatiotheturd said: Those figures seem completely pointless to me and certainly not in anyway sufficient to form a conclusion on where an infection came from? I agree. More likely the clusters reflect school catchment areas. The spike around Onchan probably linked to Bemahague School which took out several year groups and which has a tight catchment area of Onchan post codes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CowMan Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 6 hours ago, jaymann said: As far as I'm aware, I don't have any underlying health conditions. Perhaps there’s a secret list of movers and shakers you’ve been put on? Or a list of those who’ve moaned the most about slow vaccine numbers on Twitter they want to silence? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nom de plume Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 Guernsey have first dose vaccinated 30% of everyone over 16. We are literally miles off the pace, how has this happened? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beelzebub3 Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 16 hours ago, Andy Onchan said: If anyone is interested: https://edition.pagesuite-professional.co.uk/html5/reader/production/default.aspx?pubname=&pubid=051f4a5a-e86c-481b-a803-26e4c0d108c2 No mention of last year's hero, Dr Rachel Glover. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TerryFuchwit Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 3 minutes ago, Nom de plume said: Guernsey have first dose vaccinated 30% of everyone over 16. We are literally miles off the pace, how has this happened? Are we? How so? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nom de plume Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 2 minutes ago, TerryFuchwit said: Are we? How so? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TerryFuchwit Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 7 minutes ago, Nom de plume said: How are we "miles" behind then? We've first dosed 20000 people. That's 23.5 % of the entire population. Whilst I dont know how much of our population is under 16 I suspect that once you deduct them we would be at a similar percentage? Miles behind? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nom de plume Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 2 minutes ago, TerryFuchwit said: How are we "miles" behind then? We've first dosed 20000 people. That's 23.5 % of the entire population. Whilst I dont know how much of our population is under 16 I suspect that once you deduct them we would be at a similar percentage? Miles behind? Maybe ‘miles’ is an exaggeration. Would you accept we are considerably behind our CI cohorts (the latest Ashy buzz word)? If so, why are we? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TerryFuchwit Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 1 minute ago, Nom de plume said: Maybe ‘miles’ is an exaggeration. Would you accept we are considerably behind our CI cohorts (the latest Ashy buzz word)? If so, why are we? Well I don't think we are considerably behind? Accorsing to your stats Guernsey have done 30% of people over 16 with a first shot. It looks like we have done 28 to 29%. Am I missing something here? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Banker Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 5 minutes ago, Nom de plume said: Maybe ‘miles’ is an exaggeration. Would you accept we are considerably behind our CI cohorts (the latest Ashy buzz word)? If so, why are we? I think we were well behind but have caught up over past week and now not too far behind. where we are well behind is in our exit strategy with ours being crap in comparison 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nellie Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 3 minutes ago, Nom de plume said: Maybe ‘miles’ is an exaggeration. Would you accept we are considerably behind our CI cohorts (the latest Ashy buzz word)? If so, why are we? Because we started late, and at a slow pace. We then took much longer to change to the extended intervals between 1st and 2nd doses. It the cumulative impact of those three decisions. You could call them ‘errors’. The good news, is that we now have around 15000 doses in stock, and they’ve shown that 1300 jabs a day is doable, so it should be possible to narrow that gap. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boris Johnson Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 When I went to Chester St for mine it struck me that I was about the only person who had filled out the consent form prior to getting there. I was in and out in moments, there was a lot of people sat down filling forms out and a lot of empty booths waiting for them to fill their forms. Could be more efficient if everyone got a bit more organised before they turn up? 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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