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We are running out of kids?


Max Power

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It'll be fine in nine month's time, Reayrt Mie is at least 75% full of imported civil servants, they'll all be breeding like mad.

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1 hour ago, Max Power said:

Four hundred fewer kids attending schools on the island, we had better get that new Castle Rushen school built?

https://www.manxradio.com/news/isle-of-man-news/almost-400-fewer-pupils-in-islands-schools-this-year/

More worrying is the dropoff in sixth form numbers, that's a huge proportion - 30%! What's going on there? Apprenticeships / college up?

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7 minutes ago, Mercenary said:

More worrying is the dropoff in sixth form numbers, that's a huge proportion - 30%! What's going on there? Apprenticeships / college up?

Yes, less kids staying on for A levels and then going to uni.  I am not sure why it’s worrying, I would say it good that businesses are offering young people opportunities and they aren’t saddling themselves with debt and as many pointless degrees as there have been over the last 20 years.

As for the general decline in numbers of young people and school kids surely it’s no surprise to anyone?  Its been evidenced to have been happening for a number of years and talked about regularly, especially by Paul Craine.

Its one of the reasons I can’t help but smile when uninformed people talk about the planned rise in population and that the schools won’t cope.  At the rate we are going now school intake figures will only continue to fall and schools will have to downsize without us importing more kids.  I don’t believe that is good for anyone.  Kids need to be prepared for the real world and tiny schools aren’t the way to do it.

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22 minutes ago, Mercenary said:

More worrying is the dropoff in sixth form numbers, that's a huge proportion - 30%! What's going on there? Apprenticeships / college up?

Since the 2011 up to the last census, 1000 under 30s have been leaving the island every year. Therein lay the answer.

Meanwhile, we've imported a lot of older people, who are aiding driving them out.

.

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1 minute ago, Albert Tatlock said:

Since the 2011 up to the last census, 1000 under 30s have been leaving the island every year. Therein lay the answer.

Meanwhile, we've imported a lot of older people, who are aiding driving them out.

Couples putting off having kids through being mortgaged/rented to the hilt too?

Possibly a falling population meaning fewer kids, if you don't happen to believe the official Census headcount?

I've got family and friends whose younger family members have departed, seeking better opportunities and lower costs in some cases, plus the perennial argument about lack of entertainment and socialising.

There's a lot of work to be done in respect of making these generations want to stay.

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11 minutes ago, Albert Tatlock said:

Since the 2011 up to the last census, 1000 under 30s have been leaving the island every year. Therein lay the answer.

Meanwhile, we've imported a lot of older people, who are aiding driving them out.

.

I think that describes the general downward trend in children in school years (e.g. 3% year on year down) amongst other factors such as lower birth rates, but not the sudden 30% drop across consecutive years in sixth form numbers.

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8 minutes ago, Albert Tatlock said:

Where is this so called 30% drop referenced? Does not make sense as a percentage, given what's in the article. 

Quote

Last year, years 12 and 13 comprised a total of 1,119 students across five schools, but this year that's fallen to 815.

 

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33 minutes ago, Albert Tatlock said:

older people, who are aiding driving them out.

Skewing the percentage figures surely???

A Granny arriving on the Island doesn't necessary mean that a 'Youffe' has been removed but the percentage may show a slew in the ratios???

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Just now, Kopek said:

Skewing the percentage figures surely???

A Granny arriving on the Island doesn't necessary mean that a 'Youffe' has been removed but the percentage may show a slew in the ratios???

There is also the fact that the more old people who are here, the less the place is attractive to younger people and so they are more likely to leave.

People might not like it, but it’s true.  Young people want to live in areas with other young people and the related facilities and activities.

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