lisner Posted January 29, 2006 Share Posted January 29, 2006 Stark Warnings 80 could die from Avian Flu - Manx Radio audio Avian Flu - Stark Warniing - Manx Radio audio It's time to ring out those sirens again and tune in to Manx Radio for further instructions. I'd love to be at the meetings where these figures are dreamed up. How often shall we play the siren and for how long? How many people shall we say will die of Avian Flu in the first how many days? weeks or (the winner) 3 months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sirdick Posted January 29, 2006 Share Posted January 29, 2006 "Consultant Dr Kishore, says a number of measures are being considered, but believes border controls will not play a big part" Why? Isn't it through the borders of the Island it might arrive? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Declan Posted January 29, 2006 Share Posted January 29, 2006 Why? Isn't it through the borders of the Island it might arrive? Birds, particularly migratory ones, fly. Amd rarely stop for customs checks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Old Git Posted January 29, 2006 Share Posted January 29, 2006 Why? Isn't it through the borders of the Island it might arrive? Birds, particularly migratory ones, fly. Amd rarely stop for customs checks. Presumably they'd be more worried about the human variant of the flu, that we can all catch, rather than the bird version? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northline Posted January 29, 2006 Share Posted January 29, 2006 What if the person who operates the warning sirens is one of the 1st to go down . . . .we might never know the iisk He/she should be protected at all costs so we can all sleep safe at night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Declan Posted January 29, 2006 Share Posted January 29, 2006 Presumably they'd be more worried about the human variant of the flu, that we can all catch, rather than the bird version? You mean the one that doesn't actually exisist? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Old Git Posted January 29, 2006 Share Posted January 29, 2006 You mean the one that doesn't actually exisist? Yes, that one, the one they're planning for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doodlebug Posted January 29, 2006 Share Posted January 29, 2006 You mean the one that doesn't actually exisist? Yes, that one, the one they're planning for. The one they are frantically trying to create in a lab somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gladys Posted January 29, 2006 Share Posted January 29, 2006 Just to get an idea of the scale, does anyone know how many people normally die on the IOM in a three month period (I know seasonal variations occur, but just a rough approximation would be good)? Are we talking about the mortality rate doubling or is it an increase of below 100%? It's helpful to get a context in figures like these. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Charles Flynn Posted January 29, 2006 Share Posted January 29, 2006 Just to get an idea of the scale, does anyone know how many people normally die on the IOM in a three month period (I know seasonal variations occur, but just a rough approximation would be good)? Are we talking about the mortality rate doubling or is it an increase of below 100%? It's helpful to get a context in figures like these. 2005 Population 75,049 Death rate 11.26 deaths/1000 I make that 831 (approx) deaths per year - 207 in 3 months. Possibly more in Winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mollag Posted January 29, 2006 Share Posted January 29, 2006 Will it be as bad as the millenium bug Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Charles Flynn Posted January 29, 2006 Share Posted January 29, 2006 Will it be as bad as the millenium bug UK spent £28 billion to counteract the Millenium Bug. How much are they spending on this? So far £200 million to protect 14 million people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gladys Posted January 30, 2006 Share Posted January 30, 2006 Will it be as bad as the millenium bug UK spent £28 billion to counteract the Millenium Bug. How much are they spending on this? So far £200 million to protect 14 million people. Areed the millenium bug was a big non-event, but possibly because time and money had been invested to prevent a significant impact. However, when making these spending comparisons, you have to compare like with like. Was the Stg28 billion the total of public and private sector spending preparing for Y2K (just about every company with IT had a Y2K project which cost oodles), whereas the Stg200million is the amount spent by the UK govt in purchasing vaccines, public awareness etc? If that is the case, then whilst the figures look stark, they are not directly comparable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Charles Flynn Posted January 30, 2006 Share Posted January 30, 2006 Will it be as bad as the millenium bug UK spent £28 billion to counteract the Millenium Bug. How much are they spending on this? So far £200 million to protect 14 million people. Areed the millenium bug was a big non-event, but possibly because time and money had been invested to prevent a significant impact. However, when making these spending comparisons, you have to compare like with like. Was the Stg28 billion the total of public and private sector spending preparing for Y2K (just about every company with IT had a Y2K project which cost oodles), whereas the Stg200million is the amount spent by the UK govt in purchasing vaccines, public awareness etc? If that is the case, then whilst the figures look stark, they are not directly comparable. Agreed. We can't possibly compare like with like at this stage. £28 billion was the total for the Y2K project. You can't compare a computer virus to a biological virus where the future devastation is unknown. All these estimates of how bad it might be are simply conjectures. If a world wide pandemic does happen of course there will be enormous costs and also tremendous loss of life. How much who can possibly know when the experts disagree? This figure of 80 for the IOM could be way off the mark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lisner Posted January 30, 2006 Author Share Posted January 30, 2006 Its on the front page of the Isle of Man Examiner and on the News website IoM Mewspapers website Dr Parameswaran Kishore said it is a matter of when and not if the pandemic begins. It has also been revealed schools could close, public gatherings – like nights at the theatre –could be banned and the economy could be battered. This is really worrying stuff. With that and the siren being prepared for use I think there is something afoot that 'we' haven't been told. Maybe the Young Farmers do at the Gaiety will be cancelled like it was back in the dark dark days of the foot and mouth. Personally, I think it is a ruse to stop the young blighters from lampooning out politicians just before the election. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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